The Eastern Conference's second-ranked squad, the Florida Panthers (40-22-3), visit the fourth-ranked team from the conference, the Toronto Maple Leafs (39-22-3), on Thursday, March 13 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Here's our pick for who will clinch the win in Thursday's game.

The Maple Leafs have put up a 6-3-1 record during their last 10 contests. They have scored 37 total goals (nine power-play goals on 30 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 30.0%) while giving up 33 goals to their opponents.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projection model for this contest calls for a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Panthers 3.

Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-107)
Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

The Panthers are 6-3-9 in overtime contests as part of a 40-22-3 overall record.
In the 15 games Florida has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-4-3 record (good for 19 points).
The 12 times this season the Panthers ended a game with just one goal, they went 2-10-0 (four points).
Florida has taken seven points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (3-4-1 record).
The Panthers have scored more than two goals 41 times, and are 35-4-2 in those games (to record 72 points).
In the 29 games when Florida has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 20-6-3 record (43 points).
In the 40 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 25-13-2 (52 points).
The Panthers have been outshot by opponents 18 times, and went 10-7-1 (21 points).

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

The Maple Leafs (39-22-3 overall) have posted a record of 8-3-11 in matchups that have gone to OT this season.
Toronto has earned 30 points (14-3-2) in its 19 games decided by one goal.
This season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal in 10 games and they finished 0-9-1 in those matchups.
Toronto has earned five points (2-7-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
The Maple Leafs have scored more than two goals 41 times, earning 75 points from those matchups (37-3-1).
Toronto has scored a single power-play goal in 25 games this season and has registered 35 points from those matchups.
When outshooting its opponent this season, Toronto is 14-12-1 (29 points).
The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents in 36 games, going 25-9-2 to register 52 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

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