Game 1 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena on Tuesday, April 22 features the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Florida Panthers playing at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Lightning have -120 odds on the moneyline against the Panthers (-100).
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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Tuesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.
Lightning vs. Panthers Predictions for Tuesday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final tally of Lightning 4, Panthers 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Lightning (-120)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Lightning (-1.5)
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Lightning Splits and Trends
- The Lightning are 6-8-14 in overtime contests on their way to a 47-27-8 overall record.
- In the 22 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 8-9-5 record (good for 21 points).
- In the nine games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-8-1.
- Tampa Bay has finished 2-9-3 in the 14 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering seven points).
- The Lightning have scored three or more goals in 56 games (45-7-4, 94 points).
- In the 31 games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it has a 22-8-1 record (45 points).
- In the 42 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 25-17-0 (50 points).
- The Lightning's opponents have had more shots in 36 games. The Lightning finished 21-7-8 in those contests (50 points).
Panthers Splits and Trends
- The Panthers have a 10-4-14 record in overtime contests this season and a 47-31-4 overall record.
- Florida has earned 26 points (11-6-4) in its 21 games decided by one goal.
- This season the Panthers recorded only one goal in 16 games and have gone 3-13-0 (six points).
- Florida has 12 points (5-7-2) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Panthers have scored at least three goals in 47 games, earning 80 points from those contests.
- Florida has scored a lone power-play goal in 37 games this season and has recorded 52 points from those matchups.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Florida is 31-20-3 (65 points).
- The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in 20 games. The Panthers finished 10-9-1 in those matchups (21 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Lightning Rank | Lightning AVG | Panthers AVG | Panthers Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3.56 | Goals Scored | 3 | 15th |
| 4th | 2.63 | Goals Allowed | 2.72 | 7th |
| 12th | 28.5 | Shots | 31.5 | 3rd |
| 14th | 28.1 | Shots Allowed | 26.2 | 5th |
| 5th | 25.86% | Power Play % | 23.83% | 11th |
| 6th | 81.55% | Penalty Kill % | 80.42% | 10th |
Lightning vs. Panthers Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Tuesday, April 22, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida
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