Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs Second Round Gam

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Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs Second Round features the Florida Panthers and the Toronto Maple Leafs squaring off at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, May 9 on truTV. The Maple Leafs have a 2-0 lead in the series. The Maple Leafs have +195 moneyline odds against the favored Panthers (-238).

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Here's our prediction for who will claim the victory in this NHL Playoffs Second Round contest.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Predictions for Friday

Our computer projection model for this matchup predicts a final score of Panthers 4, Maple Leafs 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-238)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Maple Leafs (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

  • The Panthers have gone 10-4-14 in overtime games as part of an overall record of 47-31-4.
  • Florida has 26 points (11-8-4) in the 23 games it has played that were decided by one goal.
  • The 17 times this season the Panthers finished a game with only one goal, they went 3-14-0 (six points).
  • Florida has finished 6-7-2 in the 15 games this season when it scored a pair of goals (registering 14 points).
  • The Panthers are 42-8-2 in the 52 games when they have scored more than two goals (to register 86 points).
  • In the 40 games when Florida has recorded a lone power-play goal, it went 25-11-4 to register 54 points.
  • In the 59 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Florida is 34-22-3 (71 points).
  • The Panthers have been outshot by opponents in 21 games, going 11-9-1 to record 23 points.

Maple Leafs Splits and Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have a record of 52-26-4 this season and are 13-5-18 in overtime matchups.
  • Toronto has earned 53 points (25-4-3) in its 32 games decided by one goal.
  • Across the 12 games this season the Maple Leafs finished with just one goal, they have earned three points.
  • Toronto has earned seven points (3-10-1 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 60 times, earning 111 points from those matchups (54-3-3).
  • This season, Toronto has scored a lone power-play goal in 34 games and registered 51 points with a record of 25-8-1.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Toronto has posted a record of 18-13-2 (38 points).
  • The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 50 times this season, and earned 74 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers Rank Panthers AVG Maple Leafs AVG Maple Leafs Rank
15th 3 Goals Scored 3.26 7th
7th 2.72 Goals Allowed 2.79 8th
3rd 31.5 Shots 28 18th
5th 26.2 Shots Allowed 29.3 25th
11th 23.83% Power Play % 24.77% 9th
10th 80.42% Penalty Kill % 77.87% 17th

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Friday, May 9, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: truTV
  • Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida

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