Panthers vs. Lightning Prediction & Picks - Nov. 15

The Florida Panthers (9-7-1) and Tampa Bay Lightning (8-6-2) meet at Amerant Bank Arena on Saturday, Nov. 15 at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Panthers took down the Washington Capitals 6-3 in their most recent game, while the Lightning are coming off a 7-3 loss to the New York Rangers.

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Before this matchup, here's who we project to emerge victorious in Saturday's hockey game.

The Lightning's offense has put up 33 goals during their past 10 games, while their defense has given up 26 goals. They have recorded 37 power-play opportunities during that time, and have scored four goals (10.8%). They are 7-3-0 over those contests.

Panthers vs. Lightning Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Panthers 4, Lightning 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Panthers (-131)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.0 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Panthers Splits and Trends

• The Panthers are 1-1-2 in overtime contests on their way to a 9-7-1 overall record.
• Florida has won all four of its games that were decided by one goal.
• In the three games this season the Panthers scored only one goal, they lost every time.
• Florida has taken three points from the three games this season when it scored a pair of goals (1-1-1 record).
• The Panthers have scored three or more goals in 10 games (8-2-0, 16 points).
• In the six games when Florida has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 4-2-0 to register eight points.
• In the nine games when it outshot its opponent, Florida is 4-4-1 (nine points).
• The Panthers' opponents have had more shots in eight games. The Panthers finished 5-3-0 in those contests (10 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

• The Lightning have a record of 8-6-2 this season and are 2-2-4 in overtime contests.
• Tampa Bay has earned 12 points (5-4-2) in its 11 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Lightning registered just one goal in one game and they lost in overtime.
• Tampa Bay has five points (2-3-1) when scoring exactly two goals this season.
• The Lightning have scored three or more goals nine times, earning 12 points from those matchups (6-3-0).
• Tampa Bay has scored a lone power-play goal in six games this season and has registered nine points from those matchups.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Tampa Bay is 3-2-1 (seven points).
• The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in 10 games, going 5-4-1 to register 11 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Panthers vs. Lightning Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 5 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, Florida

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