The Indiana Pacers (6-25) are 6.5-point underdogs as they look to stop a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (16-15) on Saturday, December 27, 2025 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG.
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Heat vs. Pacers Predictions for Saturday
Our computer model for this matchup predicts a final tally of Heat 123, Pacers 109.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-289)
- Total Pick: Over 229.5 (computer predicts 232.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-6.5)
Recent Heat vs. Pacers Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28/2025 | Pacers | -3 | 223.5 | -152 | +127 | 125-120 MIA |
| 1/2/2025 | Heat | -2 | 225.5 | -134 | +113 | 128-115 IND |
| 11/17/2024 | Pacers | -3.5 | 228 | -164 | +138 | 119-110 IND |
| 11/15/2024 | Pacers | -4.5 | 228.5 | -191 | +160 | 124-111 MIA |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami has a 17-13-1 record against the spread this season.
- When they have played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 4-3 against the spread.
- A total of 14 of Miami's 31 games with a set total have hit the over (45.2%).
- The Heat have entered the game as favorites 14 times this season and won eight, or 57.1%, of those games.
- This season, Miami has won two of its three games when favored by at least -289 on the moneyline.
Pacers 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this year, Indiana has compiled a 15-16-0 record against the spread.
- The Pacers have an 8-6 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more this year.
- In Indiana's 31 games with a set total, 12 have hit the over (38.7%).
- The Pacers have compiled a 4-22 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15.4% of those games).
- Indiana has gone 1-11 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +234 or longer (8.3%).
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Heat vs. Pacers Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Bam Adebayo: Day-To-Day (Back),
Tyler Herro: Day-To-Day (Toe)
Pacers
Pacers:
Tyrese Haliburton: Out For Season (Achilles),
Obi Toppin: Out (Foot),
Aaron Nesmith: Out (Knee),
Ben Sheppard: Day-To-Day (Calf),
Isaiah Jackson: Day-To-Day (Concussion)
Heat vs. Pacers Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Saturday, December 27, 2025
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: FDSSUN, FDSIN, and WPLG
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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