Photo: Tomas Diniz Santos / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Detroit Pistons (1-0) are favored by 1.5 points against the Miami Heat (0-1) on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on WPLG, Local10+, WMYD, and DAZN-DET.
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Pistons vs. Heat Predictions for Friday
Our computer projections model for this matchup calls for a final score of Heat 119, Pistons 116.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (+102)
- Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
- Pick ATS: Heat (+1.5)
Recent Pistons vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/8/2026 | Pistons | -1 | 231.5 | -124 | +104 | 121-110 MIA |
| 1/1/2026 | Pistons | -4.5 | 236.5 | -190 | +157 | 118-112 MIA |
| 11/29/2025 | Heat | -3.5 | 240.5 | -169 | +142 | 138-135 DET |
Pistons 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Detroit was 44-38-0 against the spread last season.
- As 1.5-point favorites or greater, the Pistons went 31-35 against the spread last season.
- Last year, 38 of Detroit's 82 games went over the point total.
- The Pistons finished with a 48-19 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 71.6% of those games).
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -121 or shorter last year, Detroit finished with a record of 47-17 (73.4%).
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami won 46 games against the spread last year, while failing to cover or pushing 36 times.
- Against the spread, as underdogs of 1.5 points or more, the Heat went 22-17-1 last season.
- In Miami's games last year, the combined scoring went over the point total 46 times.
- Last season, the Heat won 18 out of the 42 games, or 42.9%, in which they were the underdog.
- Last season, Miami won 17 of its 40 games, or 42.5%, when it was the underdog by at least +102 on the moneyline.
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Pistons vs. Heat Injury Report
Pistons
Pistons:
Taurean Prince: Day-To-Day (Personal)
Heat
Heat: None
Pistons vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, October 23, 2026
- Game time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV channel: WPLG, Local10+, WMYD, and DAZN-DET
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
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