Photo: Todd Kirkland / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Miami Heat (0-4) are underdogs (+3.5) as they try to stop a four-game losing streak when they visit the Atlanta Hawks (2-2) at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at State Farm Arena. The game airs on .
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Heat vs. Hawks Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer model for this encounter calls for a final score of Hawks 128, Heat 103.
- Moneyline Pick: Hawks (-155)
- Total Pick: Under 239.5 (computer predicts 231.8 points)
- Pick ATS: Hawks (-3.5)
Recent Heat vs. Hawks Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/12/2026 | Heat | -10.5 | 240.5 | -476 | +363 | 143-117 MIA |
| 2/20/2026 | Heat | -3.5 | 244.5 | -149 | +124 | 128-97 MIA |
| 2/3/2026 | Heat | -1.5 | 236.5 | -116 | -103 | 127-115 ATL |
| 12/26/2025 | Hawks | -3.5 | 250.5 | -157 | +133 | 126-111 MIA |
Hawks 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Atlanta's record against the spread last year was 44-38-0.
- The Hawks' ATS record as 3.5-point favorites or more was 19-13 last season.
- Out of 82 Atlanta games last season, 40 hit the over.
- The Hawks won 67.4% of the games last season in which they were the moneyline favorite (29-14).
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -155 or shorter last year, Atlanta finished with a record of 23-6 (79.3%).
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami went 46-35-1 ATS last season.
- The Heat had an ATS record of 14-12-1 as underdogs of 3.5 points or greater last year.
- Miami's games went over the point total 46 out of 82 times last year.
- Last season, the Heat won 18 out of the 42 games, or 42.9%, in which they were the underdog.
- Last season, Miami won nine of its 26 games, or 34.6%, when it was the underdog by at least +131 on the moneyline.
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Heat vs. Hawks Injury Report
Hawks
Hawks:
Henri Veesaar: Out For Season (Acl),
Mouhamed Gueye: Out (Foot),
Aaron Wiggins: Questionable (Knee)
Heat
Heat:
Simone Fontecchio: Day-To-Day (Illness),
Pelle Larsson: Probable (Ankle)
Heat vs. Hawks Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 28, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel:
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
- Arena: State Farm Arena
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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